Research dossier v0.3 / Analysis

Negative Controls and False Positives

A useful detector must learn to reject more often than it accepts.

Why discarded cases matter

Rejected rows are not wasted. They define the boundary of the target and prevent the system from becoming a generic strange-light archive.

The Yakoruda/Bulgaria-style pattern, for example, is useful as a control: red/orange, falling, physical residue and iron oxides point toward reentry/combustion, not the target family.

False-positive typeRejection signals
Meteor / bolideSeconds-long duration, fast path, trail, fragmentation, smoke, fall, CNEOS-compatible event.
Reentry / debrisReentry trajectory, multiple fragments, residue, oxides/metal, orbital correlation.
Lantern / balloonMany sequential objects, same route, wind drift, holiday dates, fade by combustion.
Aircraft / droneRegular blinking, red/green/white lights, ADS-B, rotor/turbine sound, airport routes.
Satellite / ISSStraight constant motion, shadow fade, TLE compatibility, no hover or direction change.
Lens flare / bokehFixed relation to bright source, camera-locked motion, donut only from defocus.
AI / social mediaNo original file, extreme compression, viral aesthetics, repost without witness, engagement farming.