| Hypothesis | Prediction | Weakens if |
|---|---|---|
| Excited atmosphere | Spectrum with H/Na/N2/OH bands and red visible emission without proportional thermal IR. | Only thermal continuum appears; no humidity/salt dependence. |
| Dark core plus envelope | Fade-to-black, contrast loss, IR/SWIR modes and threshold-dependent visibility. | Object is always an ordinary thermal source with no sensor/invisible mode. |
| Field/plasma control | EM/RF/electric-field/ionization simultaneous with event; silence without rotor. | No EM signature in multiple close well-measured events. |
| Collaborative network detects events | Multi-station geometry gives height/speed and rejects aircraft/satellites. | Events are systematically explained by ADS-B/TLE/meteorology/flares. |
| Historical continuity | Old sources preserve shape/color/motion analogs. | Historical rows resolve cleanly into halos/auroras/meteors. |
Research dossier v0.3 / Scientific posture
Hypotheses and Falsification
A useful theory must be easy to damage. HEDHub is built around failure modes, not belief preservation.